In what can only be described as one of the most shocking 52 days of any American presidential campaign, Joe Biden has officially endorsed his Vice President, Kamala Harris, as his successor. Here's a detailed look at how the events have unfolded, and what this means for the Democratic and Republican parties.
Over the last 52 days, the political landscape has experienced unprecedented shifts. On July 21st at 4:46 PM Eastern, President Joe Biden posted a letter on Twitter announcing his decision to withdraw from the 2024 presidential race and his full endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris. Since then, Harris has received endorsements from various Democratic officials and potential challengers. The Democratic Party has quickly rallied behind her, while the Trump campaign and Republicans are struggling to adjust to this new reality.
From the Pod Save America team:
Various reports indicate that Biden's decision was influenced by new internal polling results from battleground states, showing almost no path to victory. A key meeting with top aides and advisors, along with the looming public pressure from figures like Nancy Pelosi, appeared to be significant factors. Despite the initial reluctance and statements to the contrary, Biden eventually recognized the need for change and took the unprecedented step of stepping down.
Following Biden's endorsement, Kamala Harris quickly garnered support from a broad swath of the Democratic Party. Notable endorsements include:
Kamala Harris brings several strong points to her campaign:
The challenges she faces include:
The Trump campaign and Republicans initially struggled to adapt to the news:
In the new landscape, expect Republicans to pivot from ageism to:
Possible candidates include:
Trump's initial reluctance suggests an attempt to renegotiate terms rather than avoidance. Harris should leverage this to maintain a strong public and media presence.
Republicans are fielding legal threats alleging violations in the substitution of candidates. However, historical precedents have favored party autonomy in choosing their nominees, making these challenges likely to fail.
VSA reported substantial engagement:
Harris's candidacy marks a pivotal moment with Democrats rallying passionately while the Trump campaign is scrambling to recalibrate.
Biden endorsed Kamala Harris following internal polling showing almost no path to victory and mounting pressure from Democratic figures.
Harris’s background as a prosecutor against Trump’s criminal background offers a strong contrast. She has the potential to galvanize Black, Latino, and young voters and reintroduce herself to the broader electorate.
Harris is likely to encounter racist and sexist attacks, criticism on immigration policy, and negative public perception that she will need to change.
The Trump campaign initially struggled to adapt, with disjointed attacks from Trump and other Republican aides. They will likely shift strategies to focus on portraying Harris as an incompetent and radical candidate.
Potential VP candidates include Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro, Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear, North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper, Arizona Senator Mark Kelly, and Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg.
Trump has hinted at not debating Harris on previously agreed terms, suggesting a renegotiation. Whether he will ultimately debate depends largely on future polling and his campaign’s strategy.
Republicans have threatened legal action alleging violations in candidate substitution, but historical precedents and legal opinions suggest these are unlikely to succeed.
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